Guiding Principles:
Land Tenure in Development Cooperation

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Orientierungsrahmen:
Bodenrecht und Bodenordnung

Deutsche Gesellschaft
für Technische Zusammenarbeit
Abt. 45 / Div. 45

 

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3.2 Dimensions of Land Scarcity in the Development Process

The United Nations has estimated that the world's population will grow from approximately six billion to eight and a half billion people in the next 30 years. Other prognoses are even more pessimistic. Ninety-seven percent of the growth will occur in Africa, Asia and Latin America (WBGU 1993). The growing population must be fed; higher demands on the quantity and quality of food products must be satisfied (increased percentage of animal products). Because expansion of arable land is quite limited, increasingly areas are being cultivated that are hardly appropriate for the production of food or livestock production. In addition, croplands the size of the Netherlands have to be eliminated from agricultural production every year due to overuse or misuse. Land is also increasingly being required for settlements, traffic routes, industrial plants and recreational areas.

Population growth and land scarcity
Population growth and land scarcity

Poverty and rapid population growth are positively correlated. Where per caput income increases, population growth declines and vice versa. In other words, the higher the incidence of poverty, the higher the population growth and consequently more people are afflicted by hunger and malnutrition. That means poverty, rather than population growth, is the leading cause of hunger and malnutrition. It is also evident that most of the people afflicted by hunger and malnutrition live in the poorest parts of the world (particularly South- Asian and Sub-Saharan African countries) where unemployment is high, income distribution is skewed and standards of living are low, thus reinforcing the obvious connection between hunger and poverty and not between hunger and population growth.

Likewise, scarcity of agricultural land is not the primary cause of food shortages although it does exacerbate the problem. There is adequate arable land for cultivation and food production in the world. A lack of arable land for food and agricultural production is not the cause of hunger and starvation.

(Gebremedhin 1997)

 

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